Among those who are retired and eligible for Cooperstown, the 65th greatest starter of all-time is actually a pretty sufficiently big nameDwight Gooden. 9 mo. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, We didn't recognize that password reset code. Are there baseball seasons good enough to get Adam Wainwright past Dwight Gooden? And if the Sox do pick up his option, he is by no means a lock to pass Eckersley in saves next year if Hendriks gets most of the chances. Winnowing the 180/2,000/3.40/350/2,300 field down to just wild card-era pitchers makes for an even more exclusive group: Wainwright, Scherzer, Verlander, Kershaw, Clemens plus Hall of Famers Greg Maddux, Randy Johnson, Roy Halladay and Pedro Martinez. Although Gooden was one-and-done when he reached the ballot in 2006, his extraordinary peak meant he probably deserved more of a look. While Drew was a fine player throughout his career, he would only spend the 2004 season with the Braves. The contact rate against him on pitches in the strike zone last season 91 percent was the highest against him during his 17-season MLB career. That may be what landed him on the disabled list with shoulder inflammation this year. While Pujols and Molina are guaranteed to enter the Hall of Fame, Wainwright's case is a tricky one to say the least. By what Ill provisionally call R(eliever)-JAWS, hes climbed from 22nd all-time to 15th, which is still well below the standard for the eight enshrined relievers (29.7). Or follow @seeingredpod on Twitter for a direct link. Adam Wainwrights hybrid JAWS of 41.6 is a fair amount behind that of Dwight Gooden, and closing a 6.4 point gap is going to be a tall order. Thats an average of 174 innings per year. Gibson, who died last October, finished with 3,117. Adam Wainwright is the greatest St. Louis Cardinals pitcher since Bob Gibson, and arguably the greatest St. Louis Cardinals pitcher in history other than Bob Gibson. Always ranking QBs. JAWS and peak (WAR7) gains are the major drivers of this, but positional standards, traditional milestones, and ordinal rankings are considerations as well. Zack Greinke has had an interesting career. This year, however, the biggest stars of Opening Day will be three players in Cardinals jerseys who all have legitimate shots of someday being in baseball's Hall of Fame themselves. His career just does not stack up to that level. But its just not going to happen anymore the way pitchers are used now and the way free agency is and (how) careers go. For this exercise, Im focused mainly on mid- or late-career players rather than early-career ones. All of the starters have a JAWS of at least 42.0; roughly speaking, thats the equivalent of seven six-win seasons, a point at which I start to take mid-career pitchers seriously. Me talking about it is going to inflame some people Hes not a Hall of Famer! Wainwright said. 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Queried about his Cooperstown credentials during the Cardinals' visit to Citi Field last month, Wainwright grinned while seemingly acknowledging his counting numbers he has 184 wins and 2,004. After posting a 3.84 expected ERA in 2022, that metric jumped to 4.53 last season. Among the sixty-five (again, the number of Hall of Fame starting pitchers) greatest starting pitchers in history, five are either currently active or retired but not yet Hall eligibleJustin Verlander, Clayton Kershaw, Max Scherzer, Zack Greinke, and CC Sabathia. When Adam Wainwright decides to hang up his cleats, the St.. Just want to take care of some minor inflammation after he ramped up his throwing and pitch counts. Laurie Skrivan, St, Louis Post-Dispatch Here's a look at some other top Cardinals not in the Hall of Fame. At least not for starting pitchers. Of course, Wainwright and the Cardinals gave it the nothing to see here treatment. Wainwright is a Hall of Fame person, and a very good pitcher. Adam Wainwright never won a Cy Young Award. Is Adam Wainwright in the Hall of Fame? If this is the end, Wainwright is leaving behind a solid career. Adam Wainwright biography. Hes also climbed from 12th to ninth in saves (372) and should easily move past Joe Nathan (377) and Dennis Eckersley (390) within the next year. Perhaps (I would argue this is more likely) a new narrative arc would emergeWainwright, say, grits through physical pain to guide the Cardinals to the 2022 World Series and enters a level of folklore which allows voters to look optimistically upon his borderline statistical case (see: Ortiz, David). He has led the league in strikeouts three times, including a 300-strikeout season in 2018. There is a trio of starting pitchers not yet Hall-eligible who rank somewhere between Gooden and WainwrightFlix Hernndez, Cole Hamels, and Chris Sale. 122-66, 3.24 ERA, 1,621 strikeouts, 123 adjusted ERA. Leg and glute stiffness that limited his leg drive, the aftereffect of recent back spasms, and a torn finger blister. Injury? Its just hard to pitch that long nowadays, without injuries especially. Wainwright, 40, who has played for the Cardinals since reaching the majors in 2005, is a three-time All-Star and twice led the National League in wins (2009 and 2013). Wainwright is a Hall of Fame person, and a very good pitcher. He posted a 195-117 record with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.216 WHiP, striking out 2147 batters with 695 walks in his 2567.1 innings. Hes got a long ways to go to reach 200 wins (he has 112), but hes already at 2,031 strikeouts. Astros @ Cardinals. After doing some [strength] assessments, its something he can solve. Adam Wainwright (44.0 career | 35.5 Peak | 39.8 JAWS, +2.1 JAWS). Despite dealing with shoulder soreness and some rough stretches, Greinke the active leader in JAWS has pitched an AL-high 159.2 innings, though he will probably get overtaken after landing on the COVID-19 IL on Tuesday. He leads MLB in complete games this season at the age of 40, and is MLB's active leader in complete games with 27. How Corbin Burnes became an ace by making his bed, Top moments from Brady, Manning, Jordan and other athletes hosting 'Saturday Night Live', Fantasy baseball rankings, projections, strategy and cheat sheets, Spring batting averages, runs up amid shift limits. However, the future Cardinals Hall of Famer is coming off a 2022 season in which he lost velocity, suffered a decline in swing . The content on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only. Flaherty insists hes feeling great this spring. Wainwright threw his sinker, cutter and curveball the most, and the velocity on all three pitches measured a significant drop-off from last season. This is a veteran, and he knows what he needs to do. For more information, please read our Legal Disclaimer. St. Louis Cardinals news fromFanSided Daily, Former San Francisco Giants third baseman Pablo Sandoval heading to LBPRC, Aroldis Chapmans time with New York Yankees comes to inglorious end, Wild Card wrap-up: Mets, Cardinals regular-season paper tigers, Opening Odds for MLB Division Series (Every Team's Odds to Win the ALDS, NLCS), St. Louis Cardinals: Oli Marmol's perfect quote about Wild Card Game 2, Phillies-Cardinals: Bryce Harper wants just 1 thing from Yadier Molina, Decision points: The key moments from Friday's MLB Wild Card games. Verlanders resume is impressive; hes led the league in strikeouts four times, wins twice, won a pitching triple crown, and thrown two no-hitters. His contract with Washington will keep him in a uniform through 2021, and by then, he should have a strong case. The Cardinals and starting pitching and injuries. 156-111, 3.18 ERA, 2,286 strikeouts, 126 adjusted ERA. But compared to Molina or especially Pujols, Adam Wainwright is an underdog. Even so, five catchers including the younger and still-productive Buster Posey outrank him in the framing-inclusive version of my metric, and with an 80 wRC+ and 0.7 fWAR this year, plus plans to retire after 2022, he might not even catch Russell Martin (49.1) or Joe Mauer (49.3) in the rankings. Your login session has expired. Adam Wainwright, is probably not a Hall of Famer and his 36.7 JAWS likely shouldn't be used as the new . But theres a rhythm to the ritual. Adam Wainwright was born on the 30th of August, 1981. Its only the normal spring-training grind, building up arm strength, minor inflammation, no reason to think hell have to go on the IL, our trainers feel good about it. I want to confine my results to the integration era, as, while this whole exercise is based on some level of silliness, I dont think asking Adam Wainwright to win 40 games and pitch 400 innings is particularly fair. Ill assume that FanGraphss weirdly defensive stance against Wainwrights pursuit of bulletin board material has subsided by then. Josh Donaldson, third base (43.8 career | 41.2 Peak | 42.5 JAWS, +1.5 JAWS). Im far less convinced he deserves that, but using FanGraphs framing-inclusive WAR for catchers (supplemented by Baseball Prospectus pre-2008 framing data), its clear that he deserves a boost beyond off-the-shelf JAWS. Hes actually been tougher to hit than in any season since 2016, but his 14% walk rate has created more traffic than ever, and hes blown five of 35 save chances, though three of those were in consecutive outings in mid-July, accounting for seven of the 16 earned runs hes allowed. Jim Bowden (The Athletic) was at Cardinal camp earlier this week and asked president of baseball operations John Mozeliak about Flahertys status. Chris Sale keeps getting better with age, and with the way hes ben mowing down hitters in a 2017 free agent year, hes going to earn a lucrative $200 million deal in the offseason. On one hand, its spring training and a lot of pitchers get pounded early in exhibition games as they prepare for the run-up to the regular season. That's an average of 174 innings per year. On Saturday, June 11, 25,000 fans, ages 16 and older, will take home one of their replica . Justin Verlander has pulled off one of the rare accomplishments for a pitcher winning a league MVP award. Just to be clear, its not an injury deal; its about him not syncing his body up correctly, and he didnt feel like he was getting the leg drive he typically gets, Cardinals manager Oli Marmol said. Hes endured shoulder miseries and a strained oblique. A two-homer, two-walk game on Wednesday added half a win to whats now his seventh-best season (4.5 WAR); with a big finish, he can approach the peak standard (42.7 WAR). No Cy's (albeit 4 top 3 finishes). Even if he does that, hes well short of the JAWS standard or even the 55.7 career WAR of David Ortiz, plus he has the stigma of his 2013 PED suspension to overcome. Wainwright is absolutely not going to make it to Cooperstown, and the numbers say he shouldn't, but you can squint and you can cherry-pick statistics to make an argument for Wainwright if you enter with an agenda. King Felix is still just 31 years old, despite close to 2,500 innings on his right arm. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports. Paul Goldschmidt, first base (49.1 career | 40.6 Peak | 44.9 JAWS, +2.2 JAWS). . 163-103, 3.40 ERA, 2,125 strikeouts, 122 adjusted ERA. Adam Parrish Wainwright was born on August 30, 1981, in Brunswick, Georgia. In fairness, the Cardinals are correct in their initial thinking. Strasburg hasnt been a disappointment, but he also hasnt lit the world on fire. Adam Wainwright is one of the more curious pitchers in baseball, and a recent thread raised a couple questions to me. Were not concerned. He produced the worst set of metrics in a full season in his career. Waino certainly isn't a National Hall of Famer, but there is an argument for the Cardinals Hall of Fame for sure. His draft stock suggests he has the ability to be a top-tier pitcher, but as of now, hes not on a Cooperstown track. Im skeptical only because of the history of how the Cardinals do this when a pitcher doesnt pitch, or takes a delay before his next assignment. Adam Wainwright Position: Pitcher Bats: Right Throws: Right 6-7 , 230lb (201cm, 104kg) Team: St. Louis Cardinals (majors) More bio, uniform, draft, salary info 3x All-Star 2006 World Series 2x Gold Glove Silver Slugger 60 50 Become a Stathead & surf this site ad-free. What would Adam Wainwright need to do in 2022 to deserve Hall of Fame induction? All betting content is intended for an audience ages 21+. However, per his stats, it would not be surprising if he is inducted in his first year of eligibility. Wainwright did not factor into the decision, allowing five runs on four hits in four innings. 76-43, 3.18 ERA, 1,183 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA. He founded the Futility Infielder website (2001), was a columnist for Baseball Prospectus (2005-2012) and a contributing writer for Sports Illustrated (2012-2018). Adam Wainwright is going to have such an interesting Hall of Fame case once he retires. Next, select your favourite teams and leagues and well show you their latest news and scores in the My Favourites section of the home page. . Adam Wainwright has a big decision to make this offseason. Please logout and login again. He has similar numbers (albeit slightly worse) than Roy Halladay. PITTSBURGH, PA - AUGUST 28: Adam Wainwright #50 of, the St. Louis Cardinals applauds after a defensive play by Nolan Arenado #28 in the first inning during the game against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on August 28, 2021 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Adam Wainwright. However, the future Cardinals Hall of Famer is coming off a 2022 season in which he lost velocity, suffered a decline in swing-and-miss stuff and faded to a 17.8 percent strikeout rate. But I want to consider Adam Wainwrights Hall of Fame case as a purely statistical candidate based on the statistics we currently have. So basically what Im saying is that if Adam Wainwright has a once-every-seventy-five-years season, he should probably make it into Cooperstown. Adam Wainwright Stats. Theres a good chance no pitcher will again crack the 300-win plateau, a mark that has been achieved 24 times throughout the sports history. Ive lost track. I sincerely hope Flaherty is fine and that theres no reason for concern. Jos Ramirez, third base (32.8 career | 31.5 Peak | 32.1 JAWS, +4.0 JAWS). Max Scherzer, already on the Cooperstown fast track before he was traded by the Nationals to the Dodgers at the trade deadline, continued his march towards inner-circle status by authoring a dominant post-acquisition stretch for his new team (7-0 with a 1.98 in 11 starts for the Dodgers, who won each of his outings) on par with Doyle Alexander in 1987, Randy Johnson in 1998 and CC Sabathia in 2008. The best-of-three series would not go in the Cardinals' favor, falling 2-0 to the eventual World Series participant. Jansens 30 saves have pushed him to 14th on the all-time list, five away from the next rung and 26 away from cracking the top 10. Privacy Policy But what is particularly interesting to examine with regards to Wainwright is that if Wainwright were elected, he would not even be close to the worst starting pitcher in Cooperstown. May need surgery, but were not close to making any kind of decision on that. Yadier Molinas career FanGraphs WAR shot up 18.4 wins in one day, The 2022 St. Louis Cardinals and the next generational passage St. Louis Bullpen. He had one brother, Trey, who was seven years his senior. He is known for being a Baseball Player. SUMMARY 2022 Career WAR 1.8 46.7 W 11 195 L 12 117 ERA 3.71 3.38 G 32 457 GS Perhaps a new metric will be devised that paints Wainwright in an extraordinary new lightI cant really imagine what said metric would be, but Yadier Molinas career FanGraphs WAR shot up 18.4 wins in one day on which meaningful baseball games werent even played, so I am not going to dismiss the possibility hastily. Maybe he has it in him to stick around for another 20 wins to get to 200, but he might not even crack the top 100 in JAWS while doing so. His 195 career wins have him tied for 132nd all-time, and his career strikeouts currently have him sitting 71st all-time. Hes pitched for five teams in two different leagues, which is unusual for a pitcher with such a successful resume. St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright's Hall of Fame chances could be dampened by circumstances out of his control. None. Throughout his career, Wainwright has won a World Series and has been selected to the All-Star game three times. Albert Pujols is, barring something unforseen, going to easily sail into the National Baseball Hall of FameI always feel the need to add a caveat since uncodified steroid accusations have already kept one of the few modern hitters unreservedly superior to Pujols out of the Hall of Fame, though seeing David Ortiz make it does give me hope that Albert Pujols being a nice guy that everyone in baseball media seems to like would provide sufficient cushion to whatever random conjecture somebody wants to throw out into the discourse. MILWAUKEE -- Adam Wainwright joined Hall of Famer Bob Gibson as the only St. Louis Cardinals pitchers with 2,000 strikeouts, fanning Milwaukee's Luis Uras in the fourth inning Thursday. In the spirit of giving my readers what they want, heres a lightning round, where Ill keep things uncharacteristically brief. Strikeouts are booming like never before. Sale went two years and a day between major league outings due to elbow inflammation, a flexor tendon strain, and Tommy John surgery, but hes made a solid return so far, with a 2.53 ERA and 27.9% strikeout rate through four starts. Im going to disregard them for now, though all five should (and all but Sabathia probably will) make it eventually. Write some stories about it! Wainwright said. The greatest lineups ever? Even if he is able to reach the 200 win threshold, will Wainwright find himself enshrined in the Baseball Hall of Fame? For starters, no pitcher can stay that good for that long. 5th stage: 60-day IL. The Hall of Fame should immortalize the greatest starting pitchers of each era. On Wednesday, I took a swing at a question often asked of me: Which players have helped their Hall of Fame cases the most this year? Sep 14, 2022; St. Louis, Missouri, USA; St. Louis Cardinals starting pitcher Adam Wainwright (50) pitches against the Milwaukee Brewers during the fifth inning at Busch Stadium. (Beltran) was frozen on an 0-2 Adam Wainwright curveball with the bases loaded in the bottom of the 9th. Wainos going to do that whether hes here or not, and thats a trust thing that Im not concerned with.. Replacing those lost or disrupted seasons with three average Wainwright seasons a 13-7 mark with 138 strikeouts over 164 innings would have Wainwright at 223-126 with 2,418 strikeouts. If hes still got the stuff and durability to get to 3,000, the rest of the numbers might fall into place. Adam Wainwright Future Hall of Fame Candidates: N.L. After suffering a setback around the trade deadline, he only returned to throwing on August 25; the Mets are holding out hope that the 33-year-old righty can rejoin them by mid-September. 2/4/18 Super Bowl champs. He went 119-66 with a 2.96 ERA from 2007-15, a span in which only Kershaw had a lower ERA among pitchers with at least 1,000 innings pitched. We've sent an email with instructions to create a new password. Now, Adam Wainwright at any age, while once one of the best pitchers in the sport, never put a season quite that good. Sabathia has a chance to become the 17th pitcher in history to record 3,000 strikeouts, which would give his candidacy a boost. When the Washington Nationals took Stephen Strasburg first overall in the 2009 draft, he was one of the most hyped prospects in the games history. Has Adam Wainwright done enough to deserve a place in the Hall of Fame? One other thing to note: since my reference point for old WAR and JAWS figures dates back to January 2021, some portion of these players gains may be due to updates to bWAR itself, particularly via changes to 19 and 20 park factors and tweaks to 201720 Defensive Runs Saved that were announced in March, but also due to a second update to 2020 park factors that just went live on Tuesday. Sales efficiency numbers are superb he has a 2.99 career ERA, a 1.054 WHIP, a 4.96 K:BB ratio, and hes working on five straight All-Star trips. After slaying the October beast that had haunted him for so many years, Kershaw pitched reasonably well through the first three months of the season, posting a 3.39 ERA and 2.98 FIP the latter his lowest mark since 2016 in 106.1 innings. This will undoubtedly hurt Wainwright's bid for the Hall of Fame. Your email address will not be published. He's a hell of a pitcher and even better human being. Unless Adam Wainwright continues to play for a few more seasons and perform at an elite level, the Hall of Fame may elude him, though he will certainly find his name on the voting ballot when eligible. Actually, it's two starting pitchers: Jack Flaherty and Adam Wainwright. The 40-year . His 133 OPS+ is a step down from his 201218 prime (146), but his .493 SLG is his best since leaving Arizona. It may rile up some traditionalists who are married to the idea pitchers must win 300 games and strike out 3,000 batters to be considered Hall-worthy.